As a climatologist and a geographer, I am very interested in how weather and climate varies across geographical space. To that extent, how does the forecastability of weather vary from one location to ...

Due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere, weather forecasts, even with ever improving numerical weather prediction models, eventually lose their accuracy. Meteorologists have a strong desire to ...

Weather forecasts have gotten quite good over the years, but their temperatures aren’t always spot on — and the result when they underplay extremes can be lethal. Even a 1-degree difference in a ...

It's a staple of every hurricane season: the "cone of uncertainty," which extends out from the storm on forecasting maps to warn the public of the projected path of a tropical system. But there are ...

(Bloomberg) -- Days after a catastrophic storm surprised communities in Alaska, leaving at least one person dead, new data shows increased mistakes in weather forecasting models compared with a year ...

Numerical weather prediction provides essential information of societal influence. Advances in the initial condition estimation have led to the improvement of the prediction skill. The process to ...

NORFOLK, Va. — When I started as a professional meteorologist in 1980, long-range hurricane forecasts from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) went out three days, or 72 hours. It would be over 20 ...

Due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere, weather forecasts, even with ever improving numerical weather prediction models, eventually lose all skill. Meteorologists have a strong desire to better ...

Root mean square error (rms, or its square, the variance distance) is often used to measure differences between simulated and observed fields. In this case ...