Mr. Beat briefly tells the story of the worst presidential election prediction in history. Produced by Matt Beat.

Could the 2026 Midterms flip control of House and Senate? Here's who's winning in midterm election polling; polls and predictions ...

Prediction markets are moving into the mainstream, giving investors a new way to watch crowd expectations – and a risky way ...

The 2026 midterms are nearing, will Democrats flip the Republican Congress? Here's who is winning the House and Senate in midterm elections polls.

Kalshi and Polymarket have promoted themselves as more accurate alternatives to opinion polls. But just how good are ...

Kalshi and Polymarket have enlisted hundreds of paid influencers to spur interest in everything from sporting events to ...

The prediction markets seem to have a strong opinion about who — or at least which party — will win the 2028 presidential election. As of this week, prediction market Kalshi gives the Democratic party ...

In 2026, you can bet on who's attending the Met Gala, how long a ceasefire in Iran will last and who will win the Republican primary for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District. Welcome to the age of ...

About 90% of Kalshi's volume has come from sports contracts in recent months. In late 2024, prediction markets seemed poised to take over the world. Thanks to a big win in a court case against the ...

See live LA Mayor Primary Election results from prediction markets for the Los Angeles Mayor Primary election today.

Prediction markets have gone from a niche internet product to mainstream surprisingly quickly. The idea is simple: you put real money behind your forecast on a real-world event — who wins the election ...